Updated: Oct 22, 2020
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OUR WEEK 7 THURSDAY NIGHT PICKS
We try to lay out 5 Over/Unders that we feel good about for each slate, and encourage you to take our advice, but put your own twist on it! We aren't perfect, but we try to help you make the most informed entries you can! Carson Wentz - 19.5 points - OVER
Wentz hasn’t been great this season… but he’s still scored more than 19 points in 4 of 6 games so far. So even if we expect Wentz to remain a fairly mediocre QB this week, there’s a good probability he wills himself to the over in fantasy production. Losing Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz hurts his passing ceiling, but also might just lead to increased rushing production. If you’re picking the over here, you’re probably banking on a rushing TD. Wentz has one in four of his last five games.
Travis Fulgham - 11.5 points - OVER
Fulgham has been the breakout star of the Eagles receiving corps with injuries limiting pretty much all of his competition for targets. With a 11.5-point line, this one relies heavily on whether you think Fulgham will get a touchdown or not. We’re bullish on his touchdown potential for a few reasons. He has a receiving TD in each of the past three games. And those aren’t fluky scores - he has 5 red zone targets, including 3 last week. The worry is that the Giants will use ace corner James Bradberry to try to neutralize Fulgham. But Bradberry isn’t necessarily a shadow corner (he slides into the slot pretty often in 3-WR sets) and we think Fulgham will have enough plays away from Bradberry to rack up his weekly points.
Richard Rodgers - 7 points - UNDER
Rodgers is filling in at TE this week, in the absence of both Ertz and Dallas Goedert. We’re taking the under here, because even Ertz has averaged just 4.3 points per game this season. Really this line feels like it is going to come down to whether Rodgers finds the end zone or not. He could come down with a TD...but that’s a risk we’re willing to take, figuring Fulgham (receiving) and Wentz (rushing) are probably the top TD candidates. Smashing that under here!
Darius Slayton - 12.5 points - OVER
Darius Slayton has shown he’s a great talent, and he seems to be Daniel Jones’ favorite receiver. Daniel Jones has only thrown 3 TD’s this year...but all 3 have been to Darius Slayton, so if you believe that the Giants pass for 1 or more TD’s in this game, odds are it’s Slayton that comes down with it, which should put him over 12.5 PPR points. The only concern is if the Eagles put their star cornerback Darius Slay on him as a shadow corner.
Golden Tate - 8 points - UNDER
Golden Tate always gets marked down as a PPR guy, but this year, he has been less than impressive. He doesn’t have a single game over 9 points this year, so we feel pretty comfortable taking the under here. If Sterling Shepard returns to the lineup, that just eats further into Tate’s target share, which has hovered in the 5-7 targets a week range, though Tate has yet to have more than 5 catches in a single week.
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