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OUR WEEK 10 THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICKS
We try to lay out a few Over/Unders that we feel good about for each slate, and encourage you to take our advice, but put your own twist on it! We aren't perfect, but we try to help you make the most informed entries you can! We recommend picking two players and doing a Flex play!
Philip Rivers - 16.2 points - UNDER
Both of these teams feel like they’d prefer a slow-paced, grind-it-out game led mostly by the defenses and running games. Thursday night games can trend that way, too, with teams having less time to prepare elaborate gameplans. Meanwhile, this line is actually higher than Rivers’ weekly average (14.4) and he’s only gone over 16.2 three times this year, all in plus matchups. Tennessee’s defense isn’t great, but they seem to be improving, so we’ll take the under here.
A.J. Brown - 15 points - OVER
The Colts defense is excellent, particularly against the run. If anyone is going to break a big play, we’d expect it to be Brown, a physical mismatch who pretty consistently breaks great schemes by taking simple 5-yard slant routes to the house when no one can tackle him. Brown has scored 20+ in four of his last five games, some against very solid defenses like Buffalo, Pittsburgh, and Chicago. If you’re looking for an over, he seems like the guy to take.
Michael Pittman JR - 8 points - OVER
Pittman is back from injury and looks like he could be the real deal. Last week he put up 9.6ppr points vs. a tough Baltimore secondary. We think he can at least go 4 for 50 yards in this contest, sending him over! Mo Allie Cox - 6.4 points - UNDER
Man...taking the under when the line is below 7 means that we are banking on Cox not coming down with a TD. Cox is averaging 3 catches over the last 3 games, but this week he's battling injury. He'll be splitting time with Trey Burton, and we think he'll even see limited snaps. As long as he doesn't get a flukey TD, we feel okay about the under here.
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